Advanced Statistics vs Team Standings
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04-02-2013, 04:19 PM
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Black Ruthenia
Originally Posted by
The simple fact of the matter is the Rangers' strategy is not predicated upon taking a bunch of shots or having the puck the majority of the time. Their strategy is to manipulate shooting percentages by forcing many low-percentage shots through packing the house, then beating the other team on the (less frequent, but higher percentage) counterattack or in special teams. If they're attempting a lot of shots, which will drive fenwick UP, it's in response to a failure in execution, which means they're probably either losing the game, or capable of reading the tea leaves that they're going to.
That all seems doubtful.
Someone counted the scoring chances for the first 50-60 Rangers games of last season. While I haven't gone through the data in any detail, I would bet that, as a general rule, the games in which the Rangers did best in scoring chances were also the games in which they did best in Fenwick.
What's also interesting is that the Rangers had about 50% of the scoring chances on aggregate. And not incidentally, also about 50% of the Fenwick events at even strength.
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