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04-04-2013, 11:25 AM
Doing Nothing
Jarick's Avatar
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: St Paul, MN
Country: United States
Posts: 25,251
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So I spent a solid couple hours looking at numbers today.

I saw a big correlation between PDO and team performance in terms of regulation wins and losses and overtime games.

The last five games, Wild have no wins in regulation, PDO averages 959. Previous 17 games, Wild were really hot, PDO was 1032. First 14 games, Wild were meh, PDO was 992.

In other words, I think PDO is more of a reflection of scoring chances that shots.

If I go with my hypothesis, the Wild aren't getting quality shots and are giving up better chances to the other team. This passes the eye test for me.

IMO, this points to needing to do some things much better:

1. Better breakouts and transitions; this was not great at the start of the year but much better during the winning streak.

2. Better team defense in limiting the rush and getting the puck out of the zone; this has been dreadful lately.

3. Players that help the above, including guys who are better able to force turnovers, lead or support rushes, better puck movement through the neutral zone, and crisp first passes to start the breakout.

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