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04-08-2013, 02:28 AM
  #72
Blue Blooded
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I thought my post in the Vezina thread might be appropriate here as well. I calculated the adjusted Sv% of the top four Vezina candidates and Lundqvist emerged clearly on top.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue Blooded View Post
Pure Sv% doesn't give a good picture since the different goalies have faced different ratio of shots in different situations, i.e. shot against when you're shorthanded is tougher than an ES shot.

Here is the adjusted Sv% of the top 4 goalies (Lundqvist, Bobrovsky, Rask, and Niemi):

Lundqvist: .9291
Bobrovsky: .9269
Rask: .9263
Niemi: .9243

I calculated a weighted average of shots faced at ES, PP, and SH of these four goalies and applied their Sv% in each of these situations to the calculated averages.

Lundqvist has by far the best ESSv% (.9378) and Niemi has the worst (.9291), but Lundqvist has faced the highest % of shots when his team is shorthanded which brings down his overall percentage.

Lundqvist: 80.3% ESSA, 15.9% SHSA, 3.7% PPSA
Bobrovsky: 84.8% ESSA, 12.9% SHSA, 2.2% PPSA
Rask: 85.0% ESSA, 12.2% SHSA, 2.8% PPSA
Niemi: 81.9% ESSA, 13.8% SHSA, 4.4% PPSA

TL;DR: Lundqvist is clearly the leader if you are looking at the stats.

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