View Single Post
04-11-2013, 01:03 AM
Registered User
LarmerSavardSecord's Avatar
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Wicker Park
Posts: 651
vCash: 500
Originally Posted by Sir Psycho T View Post
They do. Home field only matters when a team has something about their home that is very different then any other area. Denver always has a big advantage because of the thin air, things of that nature. Plain of simple home field, court, ice, etc. isn't relevant.
Um, no. If you disagree, go make your millions in Vegas betting the money line on road teams (though that was a good bet in the NFL for a while before the 3pt rule came down to ~2.5.) Vegas gives significant odds to the home team in every sport.

But it's easy to just run the numbers. Last year in the NHL, NBA, NFL and MLB, only a handful of the 122 teams had a better record on the road (and collectively those 7 or so teams had around the same net negative home wins as Miami Heat's net positive home wins so far this year) In the NHL, home ice over the last five years that I skimmed is typically ~10 pts per team (e.g. an "average" team would get ~51 pts home, ~41 road.)

Home advantage is very real and very persistent. Does it matter in the shortened NHL playoffs scenario? A little, but there are so many other factors that can overwhelm it in the shorter time period.

LarmerSavardSecord is offline   Reply With Quote