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04-12-2013, 07:45 PM
  #150
Valrico Gold
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Arkansas Derby

This is a weird race to handicap.
It's surprising that they have a 100 pt. race run under allowance conditions.

This means not only will Oxbow be handicapped by the 10 post, he'll will give 4lbs to many of these.
He also loses jockey Mike Smith to Bafferts War Academy. I don't believe he was bumped.
I believe he should get the added distance, but I wouldn't be too confident in his chances.

Overanalyze has speed to rate off the pace. He's dangerous.
War Academy is the inside speed and will be pushed by alot of cheap speed just to his outside. He may be forced to the front.

Carve and Texas Billing are longshot possiblities that should like the added 1/16th.

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