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04-19-2013, 04:31 PM
Took a pill in Sbisa
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Originally Posted by NeutralZone View Post
Looking ahead to summer 2014, this team is going to have some trouble fitting under the cap if big changes aren't made, especialy if they pay big money for some free agents this summer.

J Shutlz and RNH are going to need proper contracts that summer, and I would think we're looking at 5-6 million for each, at least if they have solid years. Petry, Dubnyk and PRV are going to want raises, and I can't see replacing any of them for cheaper. If PRV is gone, it's probably going to be in a trade for someone more expensive. We'll be relying a lot on Yakupov and Klefbom's entry level deals.

A possible scenario (parenthesis indicate a guess at salary):

Left Wing
Hall 6
PRV (2.5)
? 2
? 1

Right Wing
Yakupov 3.775
Eberle 6
? 2
? 1

Gagner (5)
Horcoff 5.5
? 1

Smid 3.5
Petry (3)
J Shutlz (5)
2013 Acquisition (5)
Klefbom 1.275
? 1

Dubnyk (4)
Backup 1.5

Total: 65.55

We don't know what the cap will be, but that number is probably pushing right against it, maybe over. Hemsky and N Shultz are gone. I don't think we can afford them, and I don't think they'll be missed. The number could be reduced quite a bit if Gagner is replaced by say Monahan and Horcoff gets bought out. Even so, that would still be around 60 million with only a single quality player added this summer. I'm assuming relatively cheap bottom 6 players to fill out the roster as well.

If anyone has hopes of adding 10 million plus in free agent signings this summer, remember that cap hit has to be made up somewhere. Room also has to be left for the 2015 summer, when Klefbom and Yakupov go off ELC, although at least Horcoff will be out of the picture by then. Obviously you never know what the future will bring, but Mac T is going to have to think very hard about every player he signs this summer with a contract longer than a year. I think we should hold on to our first round pick a well, as whoever we pick is going to be a lot cheaper than whoever we trade the pick for.
I think you're vastly overprice JSchultz. Cam Fowler came in as a 19 year old rookie and scored 40 points. 2 years later and he's a top pairing defenceman and PP specialist. He's basically what we're hoping Schultz turns into. He just signed a 5 year deal at $4M/per.
Last summer Erik Johnson, at 24, had also put up a 40-point season and is the Avs #1 d-man. He signed a 4 year deal at $3.75M/per.
And most recently, after coming off 2 x 35+ point seasons, Subban fought tooth and nail for his contract which ended up at $2.875M.

RFA d-men who haven't put up numbers in the NHL aren't going to be getting $5M+ if RFA d-men who do, don't.

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