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04-21-2013, 11:03 AM
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PocketNines's Avatar
Join Date: Apr 2004
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Went back further into the numbers and scenarios. Because Dallas and Detroit play head to head in their final game, the magic number has an asterisk. First of all, 1 point eliminates Columbus from catching the Blues. And since Detroit and Dallas play each other, it's impossible for both to pass the Blues all tied at 55 points. Detroit would lose a tiebreaker at 55 points since the max they could get is 55pts, 21ROW at that number, and the Blues hold the next tiebreaker which is head to head. Dallas must win out to get to 55 points and while they would likely have the tiebreaker (need only two of those wins to be ROW), this would mean the max Detroit could get in such a scenario is also 55 points, but they would lose the tiebreaker.

So, the bottom line is one point earned by the Blues gets them into the playoffs, but it's a little different than saying the magic number is 1. Because if the Blues lose in regulation tonight and Dallas loses in OT (which would be 1 against the magic number), Dallas can still win a tiebreaker at 54 and Detroit can get to 55 even if they lose in OT to Dallas.

They still need a ROW to clinch at least 7th. If the Blues win tonight in shooutout (56pts, 21ROW), Detroit could still get to 56 with 22ROW.

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