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04-21-2013, 04:34 PM
  #996
RobinDIF
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Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Stockholm
Country: Sweden
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Teuras View Post
Code:
No team can drop more than one spot in the draft order. The odds of winning:

30th place: 25.0%
29th place: 18.8%
28th place: 14.2%
27th place: 10.7%
26th place: 8.1%
25th place: 6.2%
24th place: 4.7%
23rd place: 3.6%
22nd place: 2.7%
21st place: 2.1%
20th place: 1.5%
19th place: 1.1%
18th place: 0.8%
17th place: 0.5%
So if we finish 29th, we have a chance to win the first overall and are guaranteed at least the third overall?
Exactly. Finishing 29th guarantees us a top 3 pick.

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