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04-22-2013, 11:39 AM
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Originally Posted by doubledown99 View Post
This comment makes no sense. Based on what? Development isn't linear. There is no way to know how Barkov would develop over the next year. You are projecting that he would keep developing and at best that is a guess.

And if people are going to cite Gladwells Outliers book here, his research was looking at mostly the Canadian Hockey system. It doesn't necessarily apply to other countries. You would have to research the rules and system in those countries to find out if his theories would apply.
95% of the time it is. If Hall, RNH, Yak, Ebs all were drafted a year after... they all would have improved and dominated the Juniors. The stats may not have been better if they focused on overall game but a year would certainly made them a better player.

Unless a guy is a bust (Esposito) there is always an improvement when you are a year older and other teams have a lot more 16 yo for you to dominate

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