All Encompassing Tortorella..ella..ella..eh..eh...and Glen Cigar Thread Part III
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04-24-2013, 11:38 AM
Two by two...
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Long Island
Originally Posted by
Beg to differ. Does not work for this Rangers team.
No need for you to explain my 'fan reaction', thanks anyway.
You can beg to differ all you want but it's still wrong. You can dispute opinions not facts. The fact is coaches are significantly too conservative with how often they pull the goalie. It's proven not debatable. You should expect it not to work very often. But the extra chance it gives you helps out long term. Of course in the short term most of the time you won't see a goal. But giving up a goal makes no difference since losing by one is equivalent to losing by two and it improves the chance to score.
In an analogy with the NFL coaches are all significantly too conservative with their fourth down and two point conversion decisions because in general people are just risk averse. They'd rather minimize the chances something bad happens they take a play that has a higher expected value but also is higher variance (give up an empty net goal with say 5 minutes left like when the Devils puleld Brodeur vs. us - no we didn't score. Or punt the ball away on say a 4th and 4 around midfield instead of going). Again - NFL 4th down/two point conversion scenarios are essentially solved and proven so it's really not debatable at all. The main reason there isn't a huge outcry over any given coach not performing their optimally is because legitimately every coach is equally poor in these scenarios so it's not noticed (just the same as with pulling the goalie).
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