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04-27-2013, 09:28 PM
One and Done
Gnashville's Avatar
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Crossville TN
Country: United States
Posts: 9,310
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Originally Posted by PredsV82 View Post
really? I mean i know the odds are higher that we drop than pick 1st but I'd think the most likely scenario is we either win the lottery or stay put

what are the chances of one of the top 4 (including us) winning?

nvm... odds of us staying put or winning are 68.8%

we have a 10.7% chance of ending up #1
30% of us picking 5th 10% of winning the lottery and 60% of staying put

So my statement is we have higher odds of picking 5th than winning the lottery but the best odds are on us standing pat. Only one time has a team in the 4th position won the lottery. I'm starting it now BTW #PoilewantsNurse

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