Probability of a First Round Pick = Top 6/4
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04-29-2013, 11:11 PM
Join Date: Jan 2012
Originally Posted by
Just to get some thoughts.
What tiers of ability would you be interested in seeing in an anaylsis of a draft? Would three do? Superstar/Star/Servicable?
three would probably do.
Personally, due to the questions i've mostly gotten, you'd probably want to do 4 or five
1)superstar (probably top 5 in the league at their position)
2) First line/first pairing
3) second line/second pairing
4)3rd line/3rd pairing
5)utility/depth (4th line/7th dmen/callups/etc)
I think whats interesting is just frlom recollection of the names on the list it seemed to me that outside the top 3 picks, "superstar" and even "first line/first pairing" types seemed to come pretty uniformly over the next 20. But that little tidbits primarily anecdotal.
as for the idea of minute per game, that's a good idea, but i had recalled reading somewhere as to why it could be a bad data point, but can't for the life of me recall what it was. It would be nice to compare even strength minutes as i think PP/PK would be too dependent on the team
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