Stupid Spreadsheet Tricks - Expected Wins
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05-07-2013, 09:43 PM
Join Date: Jun 2008
Originally Posted by
Well, first things first - with three-point games involved, the formula won't work at all (regardless of exponent chosen), since for a team with equal GF and GA, the formula will always project a winning percentage of 50%.
The question then becomes - once you adjust the formula, what happens to the optimal exponent?
Just random idea... would it be possible to convert to points % rather than win %?
Then I *think* an equal GF and GA would end up around 56% in terms of points %?
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