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05-08-2013, 06:47 PM
  #15
n00bxQb
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Caeldan View Post
Just random idea... would it be possible to convert to points % rather than win %?

Then I *think* an equal GF and GA would end up around 56% in terms of points %?
Over the past 5 seasons, a game goes to OT/SO 23.794% of the time (1342 times in 5640 games)

Average points for regulation = 1 (2 points for win, 0 points for loss. 2/2 = 1)
Average points for overtime/shootout = 1.5 (2 points for win, 1 point for loss. 3/2 = 1.5)

So you could break it down to 0.76206*GP*(GF/GA)+0.23794*GP*(GF/GA)*1.5.

With an even goal differential, it calculates to 0.76206*82*1+0.23794*82*1*1.5 = 91.756 points or a 55.949% Point Percentage.

Great guess w/ 56%


Last edited by n00bxQb: 05-08-2013 at 06:55 PM.
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