Probability of a First Round Pick = Top 6/4
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05-10-2013, 07:26 AM
Join Date: Sep 2005
Originally Posted by
This is one thing that i got from this that i really need to hammer home,
top ten should not be considered a "block". the variance from 6th overall to 10th overall is dramatic. People pikc "top ten" because..you know...that's a thing, but in reality your tiers should be top 6, as 7-15 are essentially equal.
I think it really varies on the draft. You can not compare different drafts in a total way over 10 or 15 years. I think in a strong draft... it could be the top 10, weak ones it is only the top 3 or 4. We always get a consensus of the first few picks. There is always a drop off at a certain point very early in the 1st round. After that drop off it is a crap shoot in the first round.
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