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05-13-2013, 07:20 PM
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: A New Hope
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Originally Posted by Fourier View Post
I wish I could find it but I beileve in his presser MacT mentioned that the analytics guys will tell you that on average for every 40 FO's you lose in your defensive zone one ends up in your net. A guy like Horton might take 200-300 own zone draws if he played as your number 2 center.
Interesting stat, but what does it really mean?
Say you take 1500 defensive zone faceoffs in a 82 game season, the difference between a team with a 55% vs a 45% faceoff winning percentage (an extreme difference) would be 150 more faceoff wins or about 4 goals. Is 4 goals over a 82 game season that big of a deal? So instead of focussing of faceoffs, we just need someone who can score 4 more goals?
I think faceoffs are important, but this stat almost seems to contradict MacT's point.

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