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05-19-2013, 01:38 PM
  #184
The Perfect Human*
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Edmonton
Country: Canada
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valic View Post
You guys have some unrealistic expectations. We could use an Aki Berg, and Andy Sutton in their primes.

You don't just draft defencemen high and are guaranteed to get Drew Doughty or Alex Peitrangelos. Those are the rare cases where players develop beyond the likely level of achievement.

Look at every defenceman drafted in the first round in the last 10 years, then realize you are not likely to get a #1 Defenceman. You almost need to be lucky.
Okay...

2002
Bouwmeester (#2), Pitkanen (#2), Whitney (#2 in his prime)

2003
Suter (#1), Coburn (#2), Phaneuf (#1/2)

2004
Barker (bust), Smid (#3), Valabik (bust)

2005
Johnson (#3), Lee (bust), Bourdon (RIP)

2006
Johnson (#2)

2007
Hickey (bust), Alzner (#2), Ellerby (TBD, trending #3-4)

2008
Doughty (#1), Pietrangelo (#1), Bogosian (#2), Schenn (#3)

2009
Hedman (#1), OEL (#1), Cowen (TBD, trending #2)

2010 onwards....too early to tell:
Gudbranson (likely #3), McIlrath (bust?), Larsson (likely #1), Hamilton (likely #1/2), Brodin (likely #1), Murray (likely #1/2), Reinhart (likely #1/2), Dumba (likely #2/3), Rielly (likely #2-3), Lindholm (likely #1-2), Pouliot (likely #2-3), Trouba (likely #1-2), Koekkok (???)

I think it's fair to expect a top-pairing defenseman out of any top-10 pick, especially in a "deep draft".

Definitely something better than a "prime Aki Berg/Andy Sutton"

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