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05-20-2013, 06:46 AM
  #477
RangerBoy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ola View Post
Revenues needs to be, what, $3,650,000,000 for the cap to reach 70m (HRR * 0.5 * 1.15 / 30 = 70,000,000) (disregarding benefits and inflation bumper)? That is "only" a 10 percent increase from the 2011/12 number.

Alot of factors will play in (like if the loonie goes down, so would HRR...), but from my point of view the NHL went like the train before the lockout, but it didn't show completely because of the finacial crisis. With Boston, NY, Chicago and LA still playing and seeming to be on track for good years ahead to, and many other positive indications, it just seems like -- from some distance -- that 10 percent growth over two calender years wouldn't be impossible. The inflation alone in the US is 4+ percent over that period of time.

Since we got the cap, people have constantly predicted way too low numbers. I think the NHL will have a good year next season.
Its not two calendar years. This season has no barring on the cap number. Revenues were revised downward for this season. Many of those big market teams have high ticket prices. They can't squeeze much more money for their seats. Phoenix is still in Phoenix for another season. Its May 20th. The NHL won't get a revenue bump from the Coyotes moving to another market. The Canadian TV deal will come into play in 15-16. Those factors pushed the cap up from $64.3M to $70.2M. In other years,it was the Canadian dollar. That has flatlined. The % increased from 54%-57% based on how much revenue the NHL generated. Now its a flat 50%.

You have always been way too optimistic with cap projections. The economy in the US still sucks.

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