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06-17-2013, 10:13 PM
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Originally Posted by Cunneen View Post
by this analysis, do you mean mine? or the papers? Because much work has been done to show the predicative power or lack of predictive power of SH%, goal rates, and goal rates adjusted with regressed shooting percentages. (hint, goal rates with regressed shooting percentages are far more predictive than normal goal rates).
Originally Posted by Cunneen View Post
But if you mean by the paper's analysis, then i agree with you. The paper is backward looking, rather than forward looking, which is a very dangerous view sometimes
I mean the analysis in the paper.

Basically is this version of adjusted plus/minus (which is fundamentally what this is) better than other attempts to adjust plus/minus data.

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