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06-19-2013, 07:17 AM
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Blue Blooded
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I'd like to repost my cap scenario post from the former thread as it ended up just at the end:

I've looked at future cap scenarios and we honestly need Stepan and McD to sign long term deals in the 5.5M region to have any chance of keeping this core together in the long run. And that is while getting contributions from Kreider/Miller/Lindberg/Fasth on their cheap ELC's and 2nd contracts.

These guys need new contracts starting 2014-15:

Lundqvist
Biron
Callahan
Brassard (Arb. RFA)
Boyle
Kreider (Non-arb? RFA)
Pyatt (Let go)
Powe (Let go)
Asham (Let go)
Girardi
Del Zotto (Arb. RFA)
Strålman
Moore (Non-arb? RFA)

The non-arb RFA get cheap bridge deals (Kreider 2x1.2M, Moore 2x1.3M)

If Brassard continues his strong form and scores 60-70p hell get ~4x5M. Points cost $$$.

Lundqvist gets ~8x8M. Some say 9+, others say 7, I think somewhere in between. I think he'll get slightly less, but it is better to take a higher number in a scenario.

Biron gets 2x1M. Getting up there, will take low $ to get a 2nd year.

Callahan gets 4x5.25M. I don't see how he comes cheaper, this contract will be bad by the end.

Girardi gets 4x5M. Hamhuis got 4.5M a few years ago, Girardi gets more.

Del Zotto gets 2x4M, he needs to prove himself before he gets a long deal.

Boyle gets 3x2M. Look at what Gaustad got.

Strålman gets 3x3.25M. Jonathan Ericsson comparable, solid UFA D's with upside get paid.

If McD and Step got 5.5, Hagelin 2.5, and Zucc 1.5 with the cap going up to 68M; that leaves us with 668k in cap space with 12F, 6D, 2G. Impossible, at least one more F and D is needed.

The season after that the following contracts expire:

Staal
Dorsett
Miller (Non-arb RFA)
Lindberg (Non-arb RFA)
Fasth (Non-arb RFA)
Hagelin (If he got 2 years)

Signing anyone this summer to more than 1 year will force us to a tough decision. We basically cannot afford to keep Boyle regardless of what we do. Girardi and Callahan are borderline.

Honestly, a bridge deal for Stepan can dismantle this team. Imagine having to pay him 7.5M in a few years.

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