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06-19-2013, 09:09 PM
  #692
Damaged Goods
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LegionOfDoom91 View Post
Well I don't own a crystal ball so I can't say for certain but it's not like Ryan's had any major injuries and he's still relatively young. In fact I think he could do better if he moved out of Anaheim. He's usually playing on the second line without Getzlaf & Perry and when he does play with them it's out of position on the other side but again I don't know that for certain just my feeling.

Obviously I don't have another method but to me using past players is silly because every player is different.
Every coin flip or dice roll is different too, but that doesn't mean it behooves you to ignore the long-term probabilities at play. If you are valuing Bobby Ryan as a player "just entering his prime," you're setting yourself against the odds.


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