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07-05-2013, 05:19 PM
  #70
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NYR2007 View Post
so how close are we gonna be to the cap after we resign our RFA?

Is it really that close ?

We don't have room for another 2M signing ?
It depends on how many years our RFAs sign for. The more years, the higher the AAV.

The Giroux contract is a good measurable for Stepan. Giroux had 150 points in 206 games, then signed a 3 year deal @ 3.75 mil per year. The first 2 years of that deal paid him 2.75 mil and 3.5 mil. He was coming off a 76 point, 82 game season.

Stepan has 140 points in 212 games. He's coming off a 44 point, 48 game season. Sather likes to give out 2 year bridge deals to non-arbitration eligible RFAs.

The salary cap in the first year of Giroux's contract was 64.3 mil, same as it is next year. So Stepan is likely to get a very similar contract, though perhaps a little less since his numbers aren't quite as good, his breakout season was only 48 games, and he didn't maintain those numbers in the playoffs.

So I'm thinking somewhere in the neighborhood 2 years, 5.75 mil for Stepan (2.875 AAV). If Sather decides to give him more than 2 years, obviously the AAV will be higher.

McD is almost guaranteed to get at least 4 mil per year. He's arbitration eligible, so Sather is more likely to give him a longer term contract. He has 3 years until UFA, so Sather will sign him to a 4 or 5 year deal, most likely. Probably somewhere around 4.5 per year.

Hagelin is harder to predict. He's arbitration eligible, but will probably only get a 2 year deal and won't get as much as Stepan. Probably somewhere around 2.25 mil per year is my guess.

Zucc will get somewhere between 1 and 1.5 mil per year. Let's say 1.375 mil AAV.

Falk won't get much of a raise, if any. Call it 1 mil.

Add them all up and you get 12 mil.

One of Asham or Powe won't be on the team. Let's say worst case scenario, we have to bury Powe in Hartford. Here's what our lineup would look like:

CAPGEEK.COM USER GENERATED ROSTER
My Custom Lineup
FORWARDS
Carl Hagelin ($2.250m) / Brad Richards ($6.667m) / Rick Nash ($7.800m)
Chris Kreider ($1.325m) / Derek Stepan ($2.875m) / Ryan Callahan ($4.275m)
Brian Boyle ($1.700m) / Derick Brassard ($3.200m) / Mats Zuccarello ($1.375m)
Arron Asham ($1.000m) / Dominic Moore ($1.000m) / Derek Dorsett ($1.633m)
Taylor Pyatt ($1.550m) /
DEFENSEMEN
Ryan McDonagh ($4.500m) / Dan Girardi ($3.325m)
Marc Staal ($3.975m) / Anton Stralman ($1.700m)
John Moore ($0.965m) / Michael Del Zotto ($2.550m)
Justin Falk ($1.000m) /
GOALTENDERS
Henrik Lundqvist ($6.875m)
Martin Biron ($1.300m)
OTHER
Buried: Darroll Powe ($0.142m)
------
CAPGEEK.COM TOTALS (follow @capgeek on Twitter)
(these totals are compiled with the bonus cushion)
SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $62,981,667; BONUSES: $762,500
CAP SPACE (22-man roster): $2,080,833

We have 2 mil left in cap space, but we need to leave at least 500k for injury replacements and deadline deals. And that is also using the bonus cushion. So really, we have maybe 800k to spend, unless we want to risk having the bonuses roll over into the next year's cap. If it isn't likely that those bonuses will be earned, then maybe they can spend up to 1.5 mil.

Either way, it's not much, and that's with Stepan getting a 2 year bridge deal rather than 5+ years. And it's only a 22 man roster. At least one of the kids will make the team as both Hags and Cally may not be ready to start the season.

This is why the decision to not buy out Richards is so frustrating to me. We could much more easily lock up Stepan long term and save ourselves some cap space down the road. We could have added another top 9 forward, maybe two, on a short term deal.

For all of our sakes, I hope Richards plays well and stays healthy.

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