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Four Kings Elect Arbitration
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07-10-2013, 06:38 PM
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Parts Unknown
Most, if not all, of those who filed for arbitration don't have a lot of leverage going in.
Lewis is a 26 year old forward whose career high is 5 goals and 14 points, which he hit this past season, albeit in an abbreviated one. He's produced similarly to a guy like Kyle Chipchura, who as a UFA re-signed for three years at $875K. However, if you compare him to other RFAs who re-signed, say Abdelkader, Beleskey, and Galiardi, he'll get more than $1M via arbitration.
Nolan has appeared in 97 games in his NHL career (including playoffs) with a season high of 2 goals and 6 points. Comparables are guys like Ryan Reaves (signed at $600K), Zac Rinaldo (signed at $750K), and Frazer McLaren (signed at $700K). So at most, if Nolan wins his case, I can't see him getting more than $700K due to his lack of experience and low numbers.
Martinez and Muzzin are the more intriguing cases due to their short period of success, though they have been brief.
Martinez will be signing his third pro contract. His career high is 16 points in 60 games in 2011 and he netted 6 goals in 51 games in 2012. His numbers were down this past season, only appearing in 27 games with only 1 goal and 5 points to show. In the past three seasons, Martinez has finished 6th in average time on ice among all Kings' defensemen. If you were to compare his ice time and numbers with other similar defensemen, you'd get the following results:
Adam McQuiad, 26 y.o., career high 15 points, signed three years at $1,566,667 per.
Mike Weber, 25 y.o., career high 17 points, signed three years at $1,666,667 per.
Kris Russell, 26 y.o, career high 23 points, signed one year at $1,500,000 this summer (previous contract was three years at $1.5M).
Chris Butler, 26 y.o., career high 21 points, signed one year at $1,700,000 this summer (previous contract was two years at $1.25M).
Ryan Wilson, 26 y.o, career high 21 points, signed three years at $2,250,000 per.
Jakub Kindl, 26 y.o, career high 13 points, signed four years at $2,400,000 per.
Mark Fayne, 26 y.o., career high 17 points, signed two years at $1,300,000 per.
David Schlemko, 26 y.o, career high 14 points, signed two years at $1,187,500 per.
Justin Braun, 26 y.o., career high 11 points, signed three years at $1,250,000 per.
Jason Demers, 25 y.o., career high 24 points, signed one year at $1,500,000.
These are the 10 best comparables I could come up with who play a similar role to Martinez in terms of where they stand on their respective teams' depth charts and their minutes earned.
If you take those numbers into consideration, Martinez may be looking at earning between $1.2M or more, depending on the length of the contract. The players signed to a longer term were earning more than the others and all of the above mentioned players will be UFAs when their contracts expire.
Given these facts, my guess is that Martinez is on his way out and that Muzzin will be retained.
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