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07-18-2013, 05:31 PM
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Black Ruthenia
Originally Posted by
Couldn't it also be evidence that 1030 was their "true" level?
Well - when I say "benefitted significantly", I was referring to the effects of both talent and luck.
For what it's worth, if a team has a PDO number of 1030 after a full NHL regular season, our best guess is that the team's true talent PDO number is about 1012 (if we have no other information). This follows from the fact that after 82 games, the variation in PDO across teams is approximately 40% talent, 60% non-talent.
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