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07-18-2013, 07:51 PM
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Originally Posted by Master_Of_Districts View Post
Well - when I say "benefitted significantly", I was referring to the effects of both talent and luck.

For what it's worth, if a team has a PDO number of 1030 after a full NHL regular season, our best guess is that the team's true talent PDO number is about 1012 (if we have no other information). This follows from the fact that after 82 games, the variation in PDO across teams is approximately 40% talent, 60% non-talent.
I'm curious where the evidence on this is. Also, what is the variation on individual player PDO?

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