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07-22-2013, 10:07 PM
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Predicting game outcomes

I haven't seen a lot of discussion about prediction of individual games on here or among the rest of the hockey stats community. All I've managed to find is this article from hockeyanalytics, and it's fairly basic. Does anyone know of other resources on this?

And a second question: is there any work done on how goal-making pace in the different periods are related to the full game? When I try to model total goals scored for a full game, poisson works fairly well but for specific periods it doesn't really fit. So does anyone know of any better way to model goal making in periods? Thanks in advance everyone!

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