Thread: Salary Cap: The Oilers and the cap
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07-23-2013, 07:14 AM
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Originally Posted by Fourier View Post
Just curious why you think this will happen.

Stan Bowman made some off the cuff comment about a $75M cap next year but it seems almost impossible to justify such a claim.

The cap at $64.3M is already inflated. Based on the last full season it should be at about $62.6M. The $CDN has also dropped since then by between 5-6 cents. Every 1 cent drop in the $CDN drags the cap down by about $200K. So assuming the $CDN stays where it is, to get to a cap of $70M you would need organic growth of about 16%.

If Hemsky stays the whole year I think there is a pretty decent chance that the Oilers go over the cap and take a penalty next year. If I had to guess I'd say about $2M might be fair.

I think they are fine going forward as far as their current roster is concerned. But they have certainly taken a fair bit of flexibility out of play.
ELC's hitting 8 million of the 9.15 million in bonuses is probably a reach, don't you think? I would be suprised even if we keep Hemsky that we would have a cap penalty going into 2014-15.

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