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08-07-2013, 07:05 PM
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 5,053
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Originally Posted by BraveCanadian View Post

Even if the personnel didn't change, they have all aged a year and practiced another year etc.
It seems most of hard time understanding probability, what is meant by these articles is that if the play continues the way it has for the past 48 games then results will most likely be this. There's always a possibility that leafs, flames, oilers, sabres improve their possession games, but if they don't, this is the closest educated guess you can make.

If everything stays the same, or even close to the same as far as possession, he'll be close to bang on IMO.

If the newly acquired players do nothing to improve the teams underlying metrics, ie increase possession, then they'll have little or nothing to do with the prediction.

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