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08-15-2013, 11:53 PM
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Border of lake Leman
Originally Posted by
Especially if you don't know whether the 2 goals in 25 games Brunner is actually the norm, rather than the exception.
This is why he has an "average" of 26 pts in 44 games.
around 60%. That would be the "expected return" ... based on historical stats.
The dispersion around this "expected return" would be your hypothesis.
(I know ... we mix up pts and goals here ... the principle remains)
My point is saying that the expected dispersion is reasonably skewed upwards due to the slump.
(remember it is his firs NHL year, and he played many more games than his mates ... having played in Switzerland ... the slump was mainly due to him being out of gaz, he was "put to rest (the slump)" and was ready for the playoffs where he ended best scorer of the Red Wings ... before Zetterberg and Datsyuk)
On top of that, he had some game winning SO goals that do not count in these stats.
Whatever ... we discuss on a hockey board for our pleasure ... Poile and the others are pros and have their specialised understandings on that.
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