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09-08-2013, 10:53 PM
  #39
Spawn
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Join Date: Feb 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SK13 View Post
2002: Stoll, Harding
2003: Eriksson
2004: Bolland
2005: Neal, Vlassic
2006: McGinn
2007: Nobody

6 years, 60 players from the 30-40 range in that time period and there are 9 NHL players. Two top-six forwards and one top-four defenseman in the group. One of them was a re-draft.

Failure rate of that portion of the draft seems to be about 85%, and the rate of getting an impact player in that sample is less than 5%. Basically, those "essentially late round picks" are vastly overrated.
If a team is going to build through the draft like the Oilers have had to, they need to have a better than average success rate on occasion. People keep pointing out the odds and everything. If the Oilers are going to have any hope at getting better they need to beat those odds. So far doesn't look like it.

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