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10-05-2013, 06:42 PM
  #36
hatterson
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDevilMadeMe View Post
The recent Kings (terrible offense in the regular season) broke some major trends
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammer Time View Post
Coaching changes may also be a major variable that impacts the quality of a team.

2009 Pens -
Therrien: 27-25-7, 46.7% Fenwick
Bylsma: 18-3-4, 52.8% Fenwick

There was a significant improvement in the team after Bylsma's hiring. Using full season stats would probably have underestimated the Penguins' chances.

On the other hand, if you just use the stats for the 25 games after the coaching change, you would be using a small sample size with what is probably an unsustainable winning percentage.

Perhaps there's a middle ground, such as valuing games played after a mid-season coaching change more than those before it?
Trades also can make a large impact, exampled in the case of LA.

They traded a player who has been historically terrible in regards to puck possession for a player who is historically strong in that area and they played like a completely different team.

Using season long averages gives a completely different picture of that team.

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