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11-16-2013, 12:28 PM
Unwelcome Spectre
HansH's Avatar
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: San Diego
Country: United States
Posts: 4,893
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After the games of 11/15/13:

Kings still sit in the 2nd wild-card spot, and project to maintain that by finishing with 99 points or more.

That translates to a record of 33-23-6, or a percentage of .581 for the rest of the season (compared to their current percentage of.675).

The crazy thing is... to move up to first wild-card (playing the lower division winner in the first round), the Kings are currently projected to need 116 points to overtake Minnesota. To move up into the 3rd automatic Pacific slot, they are projected to need 119 to 120... to win the Pacific, they're projected to need 128 points... to win the Conference, they're projected to need... 131 points.

Let's make this clear.

Minnesota has a percentage of .700. That's insane -- and STILL not good enough to put them into the top three in the Central, and only good enough for SEVENTH in the conference.

These numbers will almost UNDOUBTEDLY eventually come down as the season wears on and the top teams start playing each other more and we get the regression to the mean... but at this moment, that's kind of unbelievable.

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