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01-13-2014, 05:01 PM
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Originally Posted by ShakyDefense View Post
This might be time intensive, but you could plug the goalie's game logs into Excel and run the standard deviation function for save%. It's going to be limited by the flaws of save percentage itself, of course, but the results could be suggestive.
Other than the flaws with save percentage (which I agree with 100%), two other concerns:

(1) This wouldn't take into account the fact that the same goaltender playing at the same level would be expected to do better against some teams than others.

(2) This would weight each game equally, which may be appropriate, although in my method (linked to above) I weight the games by shots faced.

Having said that, I don't have results for seasons in progress, which would be an advantage to doing it this way.

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