Goalie reliability stats
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01-20-2014, 05:51 AM
Join Date: Feb 2009
Sadly im not good enough with excel to do this on my own.
But here's an idea i think could be developed to show real goalie reliability.
This is based purely on SV% because for me, that's the best basic stat indicator of goalie performance. Even tho it's not a good indicator to reliability by itself.
Every game a goalie plays on or over 91% i consider a okay/good game.
So every game goalie plays that % or over it he gets awarded +1 point.
Every time goalie plays 90-90.9% he gets 0 points.
and this goes on like this:
89 - 89.9 = -1
88 - 88.9 = -2
87 - 87.9 = -3
86 - 86.9 = -4
85 - 85.9 = -5
84 - 84.9 = -6
83 - 83.9 = -7
82 - 82.9 = -8
81 - 81.9 = -9
80 - 80.9 = -10
All below 80 are considered -10 because i don't think one very bad game should be penalized more than -10, it would be simply too hard for the goalie to make up for that game and it doesn't serve the purpose of the stat.
Again, all save% over 91 just award 1 point, so for one 80.9% or under game a goalie needs to play 10 over 91% games to make up for it.
The only thing that's bugging me with this is that the difference between 85% game and 84.9% game is a bit too much. Then again, i don't see reason enough to do this on 0.5% intervals because it complicates it a bit too much.
So, i would love if someone would find the time to help me creating this excel sheet so i could just insert 1 goalies game log sv% into it and it would give me the stat.
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