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02-23-2014, 01:33 PM
  #440
Oilers10
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THU, 27 FEB 2014 WILD OILERS = Loss
SAT, 1 MAR 2014 FLAMES OILERS = Win
TUE, 4 MAR 2014 SENATORS OILERS = Win
THU, 6 MAR 2014 ISLANDERS OILERS = Win
SUN, 9 MAR 2014 KINGS OILERS = Loss
TUE, 11 MAR 2014 OILERS WILD = WIN
THU, 13 MAR 2014 OILERS BLUES = Loss
FRI, 14 MAR 2014 OILERS RED WINGS = Win
SUN, 16 MAR 2014 OILERS HURRICANES = Win
TUE, 18 MAR 2014 PREDATORS OILERS = Loss
THU, 20 MAR 2014 SABRES OILERS = Win
SAT, 22 MAR 2014 FLAMES OILERS = Win
TUE, 25 MAR 2014 SHARKS OILERS = Loss
FRI, 28 MAR 2014 DUCKS OILERS = Loss
SUN, 30 MAR 2014 RANGERS OILERS = Loss
TUE, 1 APR 2014 OILERS SHARKS = Loss
WED, 2 APR 2014 OILERS DUCKS = Loss
FRI, 4 APR 2014 OILERS COYOTES = Win
SUN, 6 APR 2014 DUCKS OILERS = Loss
TUE, 8 APR 2014 AVALANCHE OILERS = Loss
THU, 10 APR 2014 KINGS OILERS = Loss
SAT, 12 APR 2014 CANUCKS OILERS = Win

With a Theoretical 10-12 record for the rest of the way the Oilers will finish with 20 more points. Our current 47 points + 20 points = 67pts.

In 2011-2012 67pts would have placed us 2nd last overall. In 2010-2011 67pts would have placed us 2nd last overall. In 2009-2010 67pts would have placed us 2nd last again.

Odds of 2014 NHL entry draft:

30th place: 25.0%
29th place: 18.8%
28th place: 14.2%
27th place: 10.7%
26th place: 8.1%
25th place: 6.2%
24th place: 4.7%


This means with a 2nd last place finish we will have an 18.8% chance at the top pick. However we will only have a 43.8% chance at retaining that top two pick as any of the non playoff finishers can leap us. Based on this I suspect we have a very real chance of picking 3rd.

However, Edmonton has been playing alot better as of late and our goaltenders are playiing awesome. However we are still getting outshot heavily and are poised to insert more rookies into the lineup towards the end of the season. Alot can change in the final 22 games but I suspect we'll be picking 3rd or 4th when its all said and done. If we can't get Ekblad, Bennet or Reinhart I say we trade the pick as well. Although top D aren't plentiful and easy to obtain so this pick will likely not do us much in a trade.

I'm personally torn as I want to see Oilers improve but the top of this draft has what we need as in a top D and a 1A or 1B centerman.

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