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04-05-2014, 07:43 AM
Puckaroni and cheese
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Join Date: Aug 2007
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Originally Posted by jwhouk View Post
And once again draft approximation gets a chance to show itself.

Review: every player has an "approximate draft value", based upon the year he was selected and the number of NHL regular season games per team that have been played since he was selected. Simple explanation: Sidney Crosby was drafted in 2005; he played in 470 games through 2013; the Pens have played in 622 games since then; his Approximate Draft Value is .7556. When combined with other players over a long period of time (or a large population of players within one draft or for one team), you can "approximate" the number of NHL-level talent that has been drafted - by a team, at a particular draft position, or within a single draft.

You can also break down players by Position. From 1988-2012, the average ADV for an NHL team selecting defensemen is 6.2546; for forwards it's 13.0112; for goalies it's .9804. (Translation: over the last 25 drafts prior to a completed season, the average NHL team drafted 13 forwards, 6 defensemen and one goaltender.)

On a per-player-selected basis, Nashville is sixth overall over the last 25 years with D-men (.1136 ADV per pick; just behind the Islanders and just ahead of Ottawa).

In terms of forwards, Nashville is middle-of-the-pack, averaging .1115 per forward pick, just ahead of Buffalo and - ironically - just behind Pittsburgh.

So yeah, we're better at selecting D-men than we are forwards, but we're just "average" at selecting forwards.
Some would say these stats bear out a criticism of Poiles forward drafting, namely that he chooses "safe" players who are more likely to make the NHL but less likely to be a big time talent

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