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06-20-2014, 12:21 PM
Hammer Time
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Updated after 2014 playoffs. This shows how often various statistics can predict the winner of a playoff series. Data is from 2008 through 2014 playoffs (105 series).

MethodSuccessesFailures% Correct
Home ice574854%
Better record584755%
Better record ignoring SO594656%
Goal diff, ignoring SO683765%
Better Fenwick Close663963%
Better Fenwick Tied634260%
Better Score-Adjusted Fenwick703567%
Better SOG Differential683765%

The LA Kings winning the Cup really gives a boost to all the metrics which measure shots.

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