What Variables Predict Playoff Success?
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06-20-2014, 10:28 PM
Join Date: May 2011
Originally Posted by
Thank you HammerTime.
Question: are those stats pulled from regular season, playoffs or season and progressive playoffs*?
Progressive playoffs: numbers as the playoffs progress
I'm using only regular season stats. Including playoff numbers introduces a lot of variation since some teams play significantly tougher schedules than others. Beating Chicago 5-0 is a lot more impressive than beating Columbus 5-0, but both will go into the books as a +5 goal differential. Even in the regular season, there are some teams which play tougher schedules than others, but the effect is not as pronounced since every team will play every other team in the league at least twice.
BTW, I've attached the raw data if anyone's interested. (Just for fun, I also included Maggie the Monkey's picks spinning the wheel on TSN)
playoff success upload.xlsx
(45.5 KB, 6 views)
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