Oilers hire Tyler Dellow
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08-05-2014, 12:43 PM
Join Date: Oct 2011
Originally Posted by
And as has been pointed out, and ignored, GF% was a much stronger indicator of success as it corralated to the NHL standings and success this year, with 16 of the top 18 teams in GF% making the playoffs, with the top team, the LA Kings, winning the Cup.
As for the Dellow hire, it can't hurt, but I would think he is going to be more responsible for the accumilation and input of raw data and less on having say in player personnel moves based on this data.
GF% is probably a stronger indicator of who had success in the past, but because its such a small sample size it is much more susceptible to noise and/or luck factor to be used as a predictor.
Its pretty much the definition of why people think the Avs are going to decline. Their GF% was extremely high due to high shooting percentages and high save percentages. Neither of which are likely repeatable, and if they don't start shooting more relative to their opposition they are going to have a worse GF% and worse record.
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