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05-07-2007, 06:50 PM
Only a 2 year window
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Crested Butte, CO
Originally Posted by
If you look above, you'll see that NO team gave up as much as regular-shift NHL roster player AND a #1 draft choice, just to move up a measly 4 draft positions. Bäckman is a 2nd-shift (top 4 NHL defenceman). He, alone, could bring a proven NHL forward. The Blues choosing at #9 will get a good player. But will getting players at #5 and #9 be so much better than trading Bäckman and picking up a talented, young NHL roster forward, and picking at #9 and #24?
Past history (above) has shown that an extra 3rd rounder can move a team up 3-4 positions in the first round. Maybe it would be better to keep #24 and #26, and pay a 3rd and 5th or so to move up from 9th to 5th?
If the Blues are so determined to rise from #9, then, they feel that the difference between #5 and #9 is great, and, thus, #9 may be closer in talent to #24. If so, there won't be that much gain by trying to keep #9. On the other hand, perhaps at #9, Washington will feel they can still pick up a player they want,- and picking up an extra #3 will help them build up volume of prospects. So they may want to do that. On the other hand, Washington has a lot of young players, and may insist upon getting an NHL defenceman in such a deal.
Reading over the helpful list IB put together it looks like moving up in the last part of the first round 3-4 spots costs a 3d rounder, but I suspect that if we want to go from 9 up to 5 it might cost a 2d rounder. as you asymptotically approach the top of the board, the price goes up.
Incidentally, there is an interesting read over on the prospects board from Hiishawk today
predicting the top 60
. No matter what, three picks in the first round is going to be nice.
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