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02-28-2004, 03:04 PM
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Originally Posted by Greg7
How do you figure that...
Don't all of the bottom 10 teams have a chance at the first overall pick, meaning the last place team's chances are 30% to get the number one pick?

Your main point is unchanged, but all the cited probabilities go down by 15%.
I think you can only move up by 4 spots.

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