Thread: #5 Pick
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03-01-2004, 03:50 PM
  #37
ddheyman
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fish
Here are the odds they used last season:

30th........... 25.0%
29th........... 18.8%
28th........... 14.2%
27th........... 10.7%
26th............. 8.1%
25th............. 6.2%
24th............. 4.7%
23rd............. 3.6%
22nd............ 2.7%
21st............. 2.1%
20th............. 1.5%
19th............. 1.1%
18th............. 0.8%
17th............. 0.5%

The team that wins can move up a maximum of 4 spots
Which means that if the Rangers finish 5th they had an 8% chance of picking #1, a 70% chance of picking #5 (approximately) and a 22% chance of picking #6 (meaning someone from the teams below would have won the lotto - actually any team under spot 9 or so winning it wouldn't affect the Rangers so the percentage of picking #6 would go down and #5 would go up - not going to do the math on that one).

Unlike the NBA lottery there is only 1 pick in the NHL lottery (is my understanding) and that team moves up 4 places. The rest just fall in line.

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