if ellis plays all 60 minutes of each of the last 4, he would finish with the almost identical the number of minutes played (2338 vs mason's 2341).. slightly fewer shots (probably about 50 less than mason last year), and hopefully slightly fewer goals (but very close).
people might make a valid argument that he's faced tougher opponents on average than mason did, which i think is true overall.. but one could also argue the defense in front of him is a year older and maybe slightly improved in some aspects (specifically number of shots allowed), in that we have cut down on the total number of shots by about 1-2 a game which also affects goalie stats slightly..
but still the numbers are going to wind up remarkably similiar from mason last year to ellis this year
ok but on Ellis' team where did he have Forsberg, Kariya, Timonen, Hartnell etc???
You area comparing a goalie that played on a high salary high skill team to a low salaries-low skill team
It's called the punt option, make a run at a veteran goalie (Kolzig) and then see if Rinne is playable
Oh, Rinne is definitely playable. Anyone who's ever watched him play can attest to that. The question is more of whether he can play 45 games or 65 games.
The thing is, though, that by moving Mason and Ellis, you're taking a substantial risk that you may not be able to sign a veteran mentor backup/1b for Rinne as desired (and the only goalie that really fits that description is Kolzig). Instead, you could end up playing with Rinne and Alex Auld or Mark Dekanich, and as much as I like Dekanich, I'm not sure he's NHL ready just yet...
It's a big risk you're taking and Poile doesn't have a history of taking big risks. He definitely won't take one here. I think we'll keep Mason and see what happens on July 1.