And I think we have it in the bag - - even with a "defense first" approach.
We scored 193 goals (worst in the NHL). A playoff team really needs to score about 240+(looking at historical stats). Last year, we had 16 people that scored more than 2 goals. We only had 5 guys in double figures. Gulp. We lost half of the top 16 guys and their 74 goals. That takes us to 119 goals. We need another 121. Is it realistic to think we can get to 240?
Hopefully: Nash adds 5 more. Modin adds 15. Peca adds 5. Brassard adds 10. New guys: Huselius (25), Umberger (20), Torres (15), Backman + Commodore + Tyutin (15). That’s 110, but you have to imagine that a couple of guys are going to get injured and/or disappoint.
Yes, the “less than 2 goals guys” added 14 goals, so really we need 226 from the top 16.
The good news is that we now have 5 + 3 guys that could/should score 20+ (Nash, Huselius, Modin, Umberger, Torres, + maybe Chimera, Peca and one of our young guys)
In a great year, I could see Nash with 50, Huselius with 30, Umberger with 30, Modin with 25, Torres with 20, Chimera with 20, and Brassard with 20.
This (above) COULD happen. There is goal scoring hope. Heading into last year, we were probably hoping for Nash (50), Z (30), Vyborny (25), Modin (25), Fedorov (20) and Peca (15).
Injuries happen, but I do not see anyone pulling a Vyborny.
I think we are very deep with secondary scoring. Add Boll, Manny (although probably the odd man out), Klesla - - - looking good overall I think.
I think we can average 3 goals per game and hit 246 because of depth and skill.
I don't see any way this club is going to score 240+ goals. I like the changes to the roster, but I think that's a little ambitious. I still don't think we're even going to get 30 goals total from the D.
I think Hitch summed it up well.....we need to improve our goal differential by one point....period. Yes, I would like it on the offensive side, but it appears it will have to come to a certain extent from improved defensive play. Commodore+ Tyutin+ Backman> Foote+Hainsey. Klesla, Hejda, Methot and Russell should all be better with another year of seasoning.
If the addition of Huselius, Umberger, Torres isn't more productive than Zherdev and Fritsche I will be surprised. If one of three.....Brassard or Voracek or Filatov can make 15-20 goals this year, it will be icing on the cake.
Struggle for a playoff berth???? Yes, but compete????? You bet.
And do not forgot Modin and Torres must be right. But the type of their injury has tendency to return. Besides, I think if Raffi would be right he would not get a lot of points, maximum 15 goals +/- 2 g.