hed easily get 5yrs @35 million on the open market
In order to warrant a 7mil per year deal then you have to be more than just a defensive defenseman. His offensive abilities are almost non existent over the last 5 years only averaging 14 points a season (over the last 3 years). A $7mil dollar contract would put him at, near or above the likes of Zubov, Boyle, Phaneuf,Lidstrom and more players who are better overall. With that said i could see him getting around 4.5-4.8 per season.
Originally Posted by Beakermania
unless you are in a rotisserie league with hits, blocked shots, +/-, and PIMs.
I would agree with you with the other stats but +/- is not entirely a strong stat for him.
Roman Hamrlik got 5.5 for 4 yrs ( considerable overpayment even though I wanted hima and he is a good dman) and he was 34-35 when he signed that deal. Komi provides less offense, but more physical play and he is 26.
He will also compare himself to phillips, jay mckee, orpik , scott hannan, volchenkov. All of these guys make 3.75 and more. His agent will claim that he is better than all of the above and that he provides the same type of play as hamrlik who is on the team, plus the fact that he will become a UFA.
Anything less than 4.75 M for Komi is not gonna happen.
Hamrlik was coming off a 38-point season when he signed that deal, and was actually on the UFA market. I have no doubt that in July Komisarek signs a $5 or $5.5M deal. If he's signing now it's closer to $4.5M.
I could totally live with Gainey giving him a longterm deal at $5 million per....i'd give him a bit more too if i had to.
The guy brings a ridiculous amount of intangibles to this team. And im still a believer that he has some untapped offensive upside to his game. Not to suggest that he will put up huge numbers, but i could see him settling in nicely in the 25-30 point range per season.
Tops? So... if the Habs offer him $4.5M and he declines, you'd let him walk?
That isn't what I said. $4.5M is the most I realistically see him getting in a contract if he were to sign in the next week. But to answer your question, I'd have to think about it a while and do projections for the other players I've got to get under contract. He's not unquestionably worth $5M+ to me. I think that's a lot to lock up in a player that provides little in the way of transition or offensive ability.
Komi skates well for a big guy, but he is by no means the fastest guy out there. I wouldn't give him much money on a long term deal, since it may be a matter of time before the speed of the "new NHL" starts to burn him. Somewhere between 4.5 and 5.5 million per year depending on the length of the contract is just about right if he hits the open market.