The one thing i would like to mention that huge size means injury problems in the close future. Especially for goalies, back and groin. And Dubnyk, I believe is a young kid, who still growing. So, the threat of injuries is quite possible.
BTW, i watched Schwarz at WC-18 last year. He was awesome.
I believe one of the considerations was that Dubnyk was already in North America. On TSN, after the draft was made, I remember KLowe saying that this kid was someone that they (the scouts and GM) could keep an eye on his development since he was already over here.
I cannot say for sure who will be the better goaltender down the road.
However, I have seen both play, and I cannot say I was ever very impressed with Dubnyk. I thought he was very slow in the nets, and seemed to not be a very focused goaltender. That said, he is very big and he's got skill, so you'd imagine with maybe a good goalie coach or two and some hard work in the gym (I'd get him working with one of those big blue ball too, he really flops around a lot sometimes.. poor balance maybe).
I saw Schwarz at the WJC and I thought he was dynamite (though I liked Montoya more).
I much prefer Schwarz right now, in terms of how good they are right now it's not even close. But Dubnyk might have more to work with. Schwarz is clearly the more athletic and skilled goaltender of the two, Dubnyk is the bigger of the two.
You already have a similar goalie...Jeff Drouin-Deslauriers...he is 6'04
You will look back in 3-4 years and beat yourselves up over not taking Schwarz, a lot of teams will.
I am pretty sure his size scared teams. He is 6'00 180.
Thats exactly the problem I had with the pick. We already have a very tall butterfly-style goalie who covers most of the net and is a high risk-reward prospect. Why not take a chance on a smaller, more technical goalie who doesn't have to rely on his size as much as his reflexes.
If we could have came away from this draft with Schwarz & Schremp, I think I'd still be smiling.