Backlund is going nowhere! If Backlund is the asking price, we very likely will see a repetition of former years when the Flames were reported to be working on a deal around Jokinen but finally withdrew.
Backlund doesn't get you closer to the cup this season. Not expecting he's the return, but just saying. Jokinen is a bigger help, right now.
"IF" the flames acquire olli, why would sutter trade him 3 months later when he still has another year at 5.25mil??
Because he'd rather have Cammy, in that scenario, and because he may think he can play Jokinen's value up and move him again in the summer.
I'm not saying I think that scenario is particularly likely, but it's not impossible and I don't think trading for Jokinen "means 100% that cammy is NOT going to sign with the flames", as you said. It would make it more complicated to keep him, but not impossible.