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Oilers News and Blog Reports 07/13/09 Are you nervous about Grebeshkov?

View Poll Results: Still no contract with Grebeshkov, are you nervous?
No, they will get him signed 90 82.57%
No, they won't sign him, but I didn't want him to 0 0%
Yes, I worry they will lose him 19 17.43%
Voters: 109. You may not vote on this poll

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Old
07-13-2009, 09:20 AM
  #1
BlueBelle
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Oilers News and Blog Reports 07/13/09 Are you nervous about Grebeshkov?

No Creme Brule
http://lowetide.blogspot.com/2009/07...eme-brule.html

Pouliot the parade maker
http://lowetide.blogspot.com/2009/07...ade-maker.html

Is this shaping up to be the season from hell?
http://bryanbryoil.blogspot.com/2009...ff-season.html

Questioning the 'coalescing' in Phoenix
http://www.fromtherink.com/

Morning papers
http://www.illegalcurve.com/

NHL Games Missed Due To Injury Since The Lockout
http://www.oilersnation.com/2009/07/...xzz0L9Hcul7I&D

Combined Top-25 Prospect Rankings: #16 - #20
http://www.coppernblue.com/2009/7/12...spect-rankings

William Quist Update
http://www.coppernblue.com/2009/7/13...m-quist-update

Boston's winter classic will be interesting
http://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/blog/puck_daddy

Which Oilers faced the toughest quality of competition last season?
http://communities.canada.com/edmont...st-season.aspx

Various signings and hockey news
http://www.kuklaskorner.com/

Updates on Biron and Kessel and I am sure later on Rumours
http://compusolpei.com/spectorshocke...&id=5&Itemid=4

A heckuva league? Oklahoma City may soon find out
http://www.newsok.com/a-heckuva-leag...asthead_topten

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Old
07-13-2009, 10:12 AM
  #2
misfit
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I'm not terribly worried about Grebeshkov. I think the Oiler are tight against the cap and are hoping they can get him signed for under $3M a season. I think they'll ultimately get him locked up, or he'll be awarded, in the $3-4M range which most of us pretty much expected him to get all along.

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07-13-2009, 10:14 AM
  #3
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I expect this domino to fall within days of the Heatley domino falling (whether or not he approves the trade).

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07-13-2009, 10:22 AM
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Grebs will be signed, if there's one thing we know its that K Lowe is a great judge of defensive talent. He grabbed this guy and knows he has the ability to get to Visnovsky levels.

He's signed long term prior to arbitration I believe. He's said to be very coachable and soaks things up like a sponge, he's said he likes it here and with Khabby coming (the best russian goalie for quite some time) I would think that makes Grebby happy to play with him.

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07-13-2009, 10:39 AM
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Other Little Mikey
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I just think they don't want to sign anyone until they figure out who might get traded. Probably teams like the ability to sign a guy themselves. Smid's not signed either.

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Old
07-13-2009, 10:46 AM
  #6
BlueBelle
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100-point season for Nash doubtful
http://www.oilersnation.com/2009/07/...nash-doubtful/

All in the family: Edmonton snubbed again
http://www.oilersnation.com/2009/07/...snubbed-again/

and this one just makes me sick... I put off posting it, but why not?
Oilers, Sens could make Heatley deal in Sept
http://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/rumors/p...urn=nhl,176122

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Old
07-13-2009, 10:49 AM
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CorpseFX
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not sure if this was posted. the july 12th entry is Oilers specific:

http://www.behindthenet.ca/blog/2009...different.html

beware, nerds only

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Old
07-13-2009, 10:58 AM
  #8
Reimer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hemsky_83 View Post
I expect this domino to fall within days of the Heatley domino falling (whether or not he approves the trade).
This is the million dollar question. When is the Heatly domino going to fall. 1 day or two a week or two a month or two? At this point all we know is it will be before training camp and that is too damn long for this organization to wait for.

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Old
07-13-2009, 11:05 AM
  #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorpseFX View Post
not sure if this was posted. the july 12th entry is Oilers specific:

http://www.behindthenet.ca/blog/2009...different.html

beware, nerds only
And there's more.

The 20 worst Corsi numbers in the league:

http://www.kuklaskorner.com/index.ph...bers_worst_20/

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Old
07-13-2009, 11:26 AM
  #10
misfit
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I know I reference the ratio of offensive/defensive zone faceoffs for certain players, but Corsi numbers are pretty much useless without it. I'd be willing to bet that virtually all of those players on Kulka's list start far more of their shifts in their own end than it the offensive zone, or at the very least are among the leaders on their teams in this metric.

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07-13-2009, 11:38 AM
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Giant Moo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorpseFX View Post
not sure if this was posted. the july 12th entry is Oilers specific:

http://www.behindthenet.ca/blog/2009...different.html

beware, nerds only
"At any rate, I generated Quality of Competition four different ways for the Edmonton Oilers. Rankings among regular players are below:"

What follows is a table containing 4 wildly different calculations for each player. Proof positive that this QoC number is more noise than signal.

Reminds me of the 3 different Feng Shui experts giving 3 wildly different and conflicting opinions on that episode of Bullshiat with Penn and Teller.

Like Feng Shui, I guess QoC is whatever you want it to be.

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Old
07-13-2009, 11:38 AM
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My guess is another 1 year deal for Grebs.

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Old
07-13-2009, 11:39 AM
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Giant Moo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dashingsilverfox View Post
And there's more.

The 20 worst Corsi numbers in the league:

http://www.kuklaskorner.com/index.ph...bers_worst_20/
Jay Bouwmeester is clearly one of the worst players in the league and no one here wanted him to join the Oilers, especially those people who love to use Corsi in their other arguments.

Oh, wait...

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Old
07-13-2009, 11:40 AM
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Maybe I need another shot of coffee, but I'm having a hard time finding the Grebeshkov article. Which is it?

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Old
07-13-2009, 11:41 AM
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Asher
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Originally Posted by Giant Moo View Post
Jay Bouwmeester is clearly one of the worst players in the league and no one here wanted him to join the Oilers, especially those people who love to use Corsi in their other arguments.

Oh, wait...
They still haven't come up for a statistic for good players that play on ***** teams.

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07-13-2009, 11:42 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Deer Rebel View Post
Maybe I need another shot of coffee, but I'm having a hard time finding the Grebeshkov article. Which is it?
Oh I didn't have a Grebs article, I just couldn't think of an appropriate poll based on what I did have... sorry, throwing you a curve ball today.

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Old
07-13-2009, 11:44 AM
  #17
BlueBelle
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Here is an older article talking about Grebs and arbitration though
http://www.edmontonsun.com/sports/ot...35076-sun.html

Grebeshkov opts for arbitration hearing
http://www.faceoff.com/hockey/teams/...%3Fid%3D898337

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Old
07-13-2009, 11:44 AM
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Originally Posted by BlueBelle View Post
Oh I didn't have a Grebs article, I just couldn't think of an appropriate poll based on what I did have... sorry, throwing you a curve ball today.
Ah that would explain it. I've never been able to hit a curve.

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07-13-2009, 11:48 AM
  #19
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I don't think there's much of an issue here. Grebs likely is just deferring to his agent, and, from what I understand, his agent is a bit of a hardliner.

It looks like Tambi is a bit of a hardliner as well, which is what we need.

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07-13-2009, 11:50 AM
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Giant Moo
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They still haven't come up for a statistic for good players that play on ***** teams.
When they do, I'm sure it will be an advanced one.

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Old
07-13-2009, 12:06 PM
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Flash Walken
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Giant Moo View Post
Jay Bouwmeester is clearly one of the worst players in the league and no one here wanted him to join the Oilers, especially those people who love to use Corsi in their other arguments.

Oh, wait...
voodoo numbers suggest the oilers should target a trade for David Moss to play on the top line with Horcs. Corsi supermen.

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Old
07-13-2009, 12:10 PM
  #22
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Originally Posted by dashingsilverfox View Post
And there's more.

The 20 worst Corsi numbers in the league:

http://www.kuklaskorner.com/index.ph...bers_worst_20/
"Bouwmeester is the defenceman who had the most ice time on a bad team in the NHL. Perhaps that explains his inclusion on this list, but it is alarming that he didn’t do enough to drive the Florida offence to have a better Corsi Number. Is that worth $6.6 million a year from the Calgary Flames? I am skeptical."

Jaybo is overrated.

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07-13-2009, 12:12 PM
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I have to wonder if grebs has something to do with heatley (for the love of god, make up your mind) if he comes we will be in cap trouble, maybe then they want to just give him a short term deal for a lower cap hit. If that is the case I hope we don't get heatley and they lock up grebs long term ala gilbert.

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07-13-2009, 12:13 PM
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Originally Posted by Red Deer Rebel View Post
I don't think there's much of an issue here. Grebs likely is just deferring to his agent, and, from what I understand, his agent is a bit of a hardliner.

It looks like Tambi is a bit of a hardliner as well, which is what we need.
Yes, Khabibulin would testify to that.

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Old
07-13-2009, 12:14 PM
  #25
misfit
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Originally Posted by Giant Moo View Post
Jay Bouwmeester is clearly one of the worst players in the league and no one here wanted him to join the Oilers, especially those people who love to use Corsi in their other arguments.

Oh, wait...
Like I said, Corsi data is useless without the proper context. All Corsi shows is the relation of shots for and against when you're on the ice. Any fool should be able to understand the notion that when you're starting more often than not in front of your own net, you're more likely to be on the ice for a shot against than a shot for. Even the best faceoff men lose 40% or more of their draws, so it's not uncommon for a shot against to occur without anybody being at fault defensively. This is especially likely for defensemen who have little to no impact on the outcome of a faceoff.

Kulka (Mirtle is bad for this as well) is just showing that people who don't understand the numbers they're using shouldn't try to use them to prove or disprove anything.

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