I'm playing in a small, 4-player league that counts only goals and assists (each worth one point). An additional two points are given for each hat trick or shorthanded goal, but those are so rare as to not make much of an impact. League is only for this year.
Roy was injured last night, and is out for 4-6 months now. I need a new center to pick up. Alternatively, I can move Marleau from a LW to C position and grab a new LW for the empty spot, but the free agent centers are generally stronger. My best options right now are:
Tomas Plekanec: 29pt in 34 games Mike Ribiero: 29pt in 35 games Mikko Koivu: 28pt in 32 games
and, as a LW: James Neal: 29pt in 34 games.
Is there any way to make the "better" choice? All these players are, statistically, exactly the same. Koivu's played less games, so has more of an opportunity to produce in the future. Neal and Ribiero play on the same team, but I think Neal is on the first line while Ribiero centers the second. Plekanec is also on the top line in Montreal, and while Montreal is a top team in the East, I'm not sure how much fire power they have altogether.
I'm leaning towards either Koivu or Plekanec, mostly because Ribiero is a 2nd liner and his production has trailed off a little in the past month, while Neal is less of a proven option so far because he's so young (he can go either way in his production: keep at the same pace, dip down, or rip it up in the latter months).
Looks like there's no real way to make the "wrong" choice here, but there's definitely the possibility of making a "better" choice. We won't know until the end of the season, but does anybody have any input which way I should go?