This seems like shiny new toy syndrome to me. He's scoring a lot, yes, and that's great, but if he fails to light it up again next year wherever he ends up, will you pick whoever is scoring over him in the rankings just because he has a down year? Would you stand behind your choice if Grachev breaks out at some point this season or next?
Grachev has definitely fallen off due to some disappointing stints in the AHL, and I agree completely about Thomas doing more with less, but I can't pencil him in higher than Grachev yet without feeling guilty of being fascinated by the numbers. Had he made the Canadian WJC, and made some waves there, I would be more willing to consider him over Grachev. Not to mention, Thomas is a very underwhelming 5'9" while Grachev is 6'4".
Eh. I don't think it's necessarily that. I believe that Grachev is considered a top prospect because of his size and his one OHL season. Thomas is on pace to shatter that OHL season, and to me I'm less worried about his size because of his bloodlines. If Thomas can get stockier I don't think his size will have much of a detriment to his game.
My problem with Grachev is that he seems to be streaky in the AHL. He was bad for most of the beginning of the season, picked it up for a bit, then stopped, and now it seems he's starting again.
And yes, I would change my mind if Grachev suddenly breaks out, because that shows he's been able to start putting it together and a 6'4 power forward can be dangerous. Plus, it'd be in the AHL instead of juniors. However, Grachev HASN'T broken out yet, and it's been nearly 2 years.